Graceful-Thief
0xcb675f74b4b16f5e2bea32d9f0da89f6a20f4cf0
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$163.15
Total PnL
$-545.94
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
US seizes an Iran-linked oil tanker by March 7?
163 shares @ 61.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$163.15
$63.15
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $104,000 January 12-18?
1700 shares @ 11.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-190.59
- YES
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
600 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-246.00
- YES
US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?
167 shares @ 59.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?
110 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-27.50
- YES
Will Trump say "Coward" in March?
42 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- NO
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase March 3-9?
25 shares @ 79.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Coward" in March?$25.00Mar 2, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?$100.00Mar 2, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase March 3-9?$20.00Mar 2, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS seizes an Iran-linked oil tanker by March 7?$100.00Mar 2, 13:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$210.00Jan 21, 15:56 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$50.00Jan 21, 15:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $120,000 in January?$3.64Jan 21, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$67.41Jan 14, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$208.59Jan 14, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $104,000 January 12-18?$190.59Jan 14, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $120,000 in January?$21.70Jan 14, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $120,000 in January?$6.51Jan 14, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$246.00Jan 14, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$28.49Jan 14, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$161.51Jan 14, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?$27.50Jan 14, 20:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $91.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 14, 20:53 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 2, 13:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.