Tinted-Slice
0xcb6aaac027d17ff654583778e3c63165bf1d9836
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
59
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$-14.79
Win rate
3%
31 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 59- YES
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the February 2026 meeting?
124329 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-135.27
- NO
Will the ECB announce no change at the February 2026 meeting?
112912 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-215.32
- YES
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?
87393 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-135.78
- YES
Will the ECB announce an increase at the March 2026 meeting?
43551 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-113.36
- NO
Will the ECB announce no change at the March 2026 meeting?
29640 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-29.64
- NO
Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?
16000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-26.96
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
9000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-9.74
- YES
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?
7982 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$0.00
$-7.96
- YES
Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?
7000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-8.99
- YES
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $7.00-$8.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 9 – Feb 13?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce no change at the July 2026 meeting?$6.95Jul 22, 07:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce no change at the July 2026 meeting?$0.52Jul 17, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce no change at the July 2026 meeting?$0.06Jul 17, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce no change at the July 2026 meeting?$4.45Jul 17, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?$0.07Jul 17, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?$0.07Jul 17, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?$4.03Jul 17, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce no change at the July 2026 meeting?$8.92Jul 17, 10:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?$0.53Jul 17, 05:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?$0.66Jul 17, 05:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?$0.64Jul 17, 05:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?$0.50Jul 17, 05:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?$1.00Jul 17, 00:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?$0.00Jul 16, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?$0.65Jul 16, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?$0.02Jul 16, 11:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?$0.00Jul 16, 11:54 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 8, 00:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
54/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
3% win rate over 31 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
22 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 23/100.
31 closed markets, 3% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $1.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 02:53 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 07:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 31 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.