Well-Informed-Ladybug
0xcb6b754dcc293934e5998c6539c5b2ee6ff6c7f7
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
89
Open notional
$520.17
Total PnL
$-5.5K
Realised
$-453.33
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 89- NO
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 39°C on July 29?
110 shares @ 88.7¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$108.79
$10.79
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 40°C on July 29?
108 shares @ 93.0¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$107.20
$7.20
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on June 9?
106 shares @ 94.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$105.51
$5.51
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on July 29?
112 shares @ 89.4¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$102.34
$2.35
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 40°C on July 30?
53 shares @ 95.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$50.26
$0.26
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on July 28?
27 shares @ 90.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$27.46
$2.66
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 29?
27 shares @ 93.3¢·now 69.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$18.61
$-6.39
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on April 30?
304 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 9?
222 shares @ 90.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on June 4?
222 shares @ 90.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 40°C on July 30?$50.12Jul 29, 01:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on July 28?$90.29Jul 28, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on July 29?$20.49Jul 28, 20:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on July 28?$105.96Jul 28, 18:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on July 28?$53.68Jul 28, 18:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 28?$100.83Jul 28, 16:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on July 29?$80.03Jul 28, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 39°C on July 29?$98.55Jul 28, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 40°C on July 29?$100.35Jul 28, 08:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be 87°F or below on July 27?$104.72Jul 28, 05:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 29?$25.08Jul 28, 05:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 27?$24.84Jul 28, 02:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 27?$89.14Jul 27, 23:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on July 28?$24.92Jul 27, 23:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 27?$111.14Jul 27, 21:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on July 27?$96.08Jul 27, 21:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on July 27?$187.90Jul 27, 21:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on July 27?$82.80Jul 27, 21:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C or below on July 27?$114.85Jul 27, 16:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on July 27?$97.30Jul 27, 16:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
18/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
24 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $58.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 26, 01:08 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 01:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.