Flawed-Employee
0xcb750d4de82884b895d3038b4aecae5792d433f6
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$60.98
Total PnL
$-3.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
61 shares @ 41.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$60.98
$35.98
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
101169 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-354.60
- YES
Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?
46253 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-839.17
- YES
Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?
20000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
17852 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-179.98
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
16613 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-59.99
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
8877 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-499.99
- YES
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?
4788 shares @ 8.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-399.99
- YES
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21?
2500 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET
1244 shares @ 9.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-115.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET$26.03Jun 22, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET$105.67Jun 22, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET$103.99Jun 22, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET$104.27Jun 22, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?$205.94Jun 22, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?$503.64Jun 21, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?$205.92Jun 21, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21?$20.60Jun 21, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?$154.37Jun 21, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET$5.35Jun 18, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET$5.34Jun 18, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET$5.31Jun 18, 10:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET$105.45Jun 18, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET$5.33Jun 18, 10:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?$535.60Jun 17, 18:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?$51.38Jun 17, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?$51.24Jun 17, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DR Congo win on 2026-06-17?$20.55Jun 17, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?$313.83May 24, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?$104.47May 23, 21:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $131.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 22:41 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 22, 19:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.