Tricky-Optimization
0xcb76d3828478b89076e27be80653da50818b6293
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-5.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will OpenSea announce a token by March 31?
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2023$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Silvergate announce it is filing for bankruptcy by March 31, 2023?
4 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2023$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its March meeting?
2 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2023$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after its March meeting?
2 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2023$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Arbitrum airdrop by March 31st?
1 shares @ 71.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2023$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill SpaceX's Starship successfully reach outer space by March 31, 2023?$1.11Jan 16, 18:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Brendan Fraser win the Oscar for Best Actor in a Leading Role?$1.82Jan 16, 18:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill $ETH be above $1550 on March 17?$5.26Jan 16, 18:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Erdoğan win the 2023 Turkish presidential election?$9.62Jan 16, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenSea announce a token by March 31?$1.00Mar 10, 00:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's Starship successfully reach outer space by March 31, 2023?$1.00Mar 10, 00:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brendan Fraser win the Oscar for Best Actor in a Leading Role?$1.00Mar 10, 00:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after its March meeting?$1.00Mar 10, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its March meeting?$1.00Mar 10, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill $ETH be above $1550 on March 17?$1.00Mar 9, 23:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silvergate announce it is filing for bankruptcy by March 31, 2023?$1.00Mar 9, 23:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Erdoğan win the 2023 Turkish presidential election?$5.00Mar 9, 23:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYArbitrum airdrop by March 31st?$1.00Mar 9, 23:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 9
- Avg trade size
- $1.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 9, 23:56 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 16, 18:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".