Tedious-Nurture
0xcb76dd104b4b143f4a951f7a17de84f527841b25
Wallet digest
Activity score
25/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-136.54
Realised
$-1.99
Win rate
0%
6 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners
88 shares @ 51.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-45.82
- NO
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers
40 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago White Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles
40 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. Toronto Blue Jays
39 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Detroit Tigers vs. New York Yankees
38 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago White Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles
20 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-8.74
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago White Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles$8.89Jun 30, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners$46.48Jun 30, 01:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Diego Padres vs. Chicago Cubs$46.51Jun 30, 01:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Diego Padres vs. Chicago Cubs$20.34Jun 29, 22:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers$20.30Jun 29, 22:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago White Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles$20.30Jun 29, 22:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. Toronto Blue Jays$20.29Jun 29, 22:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be a run scored in the first inning?: Detroit Tigers vs. New York Yankees$20.28Jun 29, 22:20 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$101.02Jun 29, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$99.14Jun 29, 21:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
34/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
8 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $32.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 29, 21:49 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 30, 17:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.