Vain-Misplacement
0xcb8c7f3f7af3c70d4ccdf7fddd3954692d476810
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1000.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?
5373 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-300.00
- YES
Russian strike on Poland by September 30?
4076 shares @ 7.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-300.00
- YES
NATO article 5 in 2025?
3636 shares @ 8.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-300.00
- YES
Will the Nepalese government fall by September 30?
303 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Nepalese government fall by September 30?$100.00Sep 12, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussian strike on Poland by September 30?$300.00Sep 11, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYNATO article 5 in 2025?$300.00Sep 11, 07:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?$300.00Sep 11, 07:03 UTC
- TRADESELLJapan prime minister Ishiba out by September 30?$801.96Jul 27, 13:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the top AI model on July 31?$647.09Jul 27, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYJapan prime minister Ishiba out by September 30?$300.00Jul 25, 09:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYJapan prime minister Ishiba out by September 30?$300.00Jul 25, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYJapan prime minister Ishiba out by September 30?$300.00Jul 25, 09:01 UTC
- TRADESELLJapan prime minister Ishiba out in 2025?$189.88Jul 24, 01:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYJapan prime minister Ishiba out in 2025?$50.00Jul 23, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYJapan prime minister Ishiba out in 2025?$50.00Jul 23, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYJapan prime minister Ishiba out in 2025?$100.00Jul 23, 08:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill LDP win the most seats in the House of Councillors following the 2025 Japan election?$1.5KJul 23, 07:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the top AI model on July 31?$478.07Jul 11, 21:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill xAI have the top AI model on July 31?$478.07Jul 11, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the top AI model on July 31?$444.01Jul 11, 09:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill LDP win the most seats in the House of Councillors following the 2025 Japan election?$444.01Jul 11, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the top AI model on July 31?$941.17Jul 10, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LDP win the most seats in the House of Councillors following the 2025 Japan election?$1.7KJul 8, 16:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $434.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 8, 16:56 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 12, 09:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".