Thrifty-Gold
0xcb8e74adbc3e44542092c81005265fcb7b8b3b58
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$188.31
Total PnL
$0.32
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on April 12?
50 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$50.05
$0.05
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on April 19?
46 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$46.09
$0.09
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 26°C on April 22?
38 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$38.04
$0.04
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 26°C on June 1?
38 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$38.04
$0.04
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?
11 shares @ 98.5¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$11.04
$0.04
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 96.5¢·now 97.6¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$5.06
$0.06
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 6, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 26°C on June 1?$38.00May 31, 13:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 26°C on April 22?$38.00Apr 21, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on April 19?$46.00Apr 18, 10:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on April 12?$50.00Apr 11, 13:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?$43.04Apr 6, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?$43.00Apr 1, 11:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$47.05Apr 1, 00:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 9°C or below on March 23?$33.10Mar 23, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 9°C or below on March 23?$33.00Mar 22, 09:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 5°C on March 17?$29.03Mar 17, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 5°C on March 17?$29.00Mar 16, 13:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be 37°F or below on March 15?$30.06Mar 15, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 37°F or below on March 15?$30.00Mar 14, 04:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?$5.00Mar 9, 04:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$47.00Mar 8, 12:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be 43°F or below on March 7?$8.02Mar 7, 13:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $351.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 26, 01:31 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 6, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".