Jumpy-Sponsor-Material
0xcb92e59eef071c7dfac33fbc64c60952d277e62f
Wallet digest
Activity score
24/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-56.5K
Realised
$-3.2K
Win rate
1%
200 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
5829 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-72.30
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET
5252 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.2K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
4800 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-144.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET
3961 shares @ 7.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 7, 2026$0.00
$-296.38
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - August 10, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET
3480 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 10, 2026$0.00
$-43.34
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET
3300 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-92.55
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET
3217 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.00
$-611.16
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET
3017 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-98.26
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
2931 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 6, 2026$0.00
$-73.02
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET
2889 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-202.24
Recent activity
- SPLITEthereum Up or Down - August 18, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET$15.00Aug 18, 08:44 UTC
- SPLITBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET$30.00Aug 18, 08:43 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - August 18, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$0.00Aug 18, 08:41 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - August 18, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$15.00Aug 18, 08:41 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$30.00Aug 18, 08:41 UTC
- SPLITEthereum Up or Down - August 18, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$15.00Aug 18, 08:39 UTC
- SPLITBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$30.00Aug 18, 08:38 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - August 18, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$15.00Aug 18, 08:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$0.00Aug 18, 08:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$30.00Aug 18, 08:36 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$2.25Aug 18, 08:35 UTC
- SPLITEthereum Up or Down - August 18, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$15.00Aug 18, 08:34 UTC
- SPLITBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$30.00Aug 18, 08:33 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$30.00Aug 18, 08:33 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$0.00Aug 18, 08:33 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - August 18, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$0.00Aug 18, 08:32 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - August 18, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$9.21Aug 18, 08:32 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - August 18, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$5.60Aug 18, 08:31 UTC
- SPLITEthereum Up or Down - August 18, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$15.00Aug 18, 08:29 UTC
- SPLITBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$30.00Aug 18, 08:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
57/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
1% win rate over 200 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
6 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 28/100.
200 closed markets, 1% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 6
- Avg trade size
- $8.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 18, 08:03 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 18, 08:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 200 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.