Fumbling-Fiesta
0xcb992beddc290938bf4841b309940a84d80115d6
Quality score
75/100
Open positions
30
Open notional
$900.93
Total PnL
$-38.09
Realised
$-8.13
Win rate
20%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- YES
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?
225 shares @ 97.6¢·now 92.9¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$209.03
$-10.56
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?
100 shares @ 95.9¢·now 99.3¢·exp May 1, 2026$99.25
$3.35
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
75 shares @ 83.7¢·now 79.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$59.63
$-3.12
- NO
Xi Jinping out by June 30?
60 shares @ 97.9¢·now 98.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$58.86
$0.12
- NO
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
110 shares @ 51.5¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$55.55
$-1.07
- YES
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
2143 shares @ 1.4¢·now 2.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$54.43
$24.43
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?
57 shares @ 88.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$51.59
$1.42
- YES
Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch?
50 shares @ 60.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$38.25
$8.25
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
50 shares @ 50.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$37.25
$12.25
- NO
Will Lars Løkke Rasmussen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
33 shares @ 95.8¢·now 97.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$32.01
$0.39
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on April 24?$31.252h ago
- YIELD$0.013h ago
- MERGEWill MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? $30.001d ago
- YIELD$0.011d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?$8.801d ago
- TRADEBUYMegaETH FDV above $700M one day after launch?$9.601d ago
- TRADEBUYMegaETH FDV above $1.2B one day after launch?$6.201d ago
- TRADEBUYMegaETH FDV above $1B one day after launch?$7.401d ago
- TRADEBUYMegaETH FDV above $800M one day after launch?$9.101d ago
- TRADEBUYMegaETH FDV above $700M one day after launch?$9.501d ago
- TRADEBUYWill MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? $33.661d ago
- TRADEBUYWill MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?$97.501d ago
- TRADEBUYWill MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?$97.691d ago
- TRADEBUYWill MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?$24.401d ago
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C on April 22?$55.091d ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 70-71°F on April 22?$99.981d ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 72°F or higher on April 22?$149.991d ago
- YIELD$0.012d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 70-71°F on April 22?$49.353d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C on April 22?$5.073d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $30.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 8d ago
- Last active
- 2h ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.