Fumbling-Fiesta
0xcb992beddc290938bf4841b309940a84d80115d6
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
27
Open notional
$916.25
Total PnL
$-40.23
Realised
$-1.74
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- YES
Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch?
269 shares @ 84.5¢·now 64.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$173.53
$-53.96
- YES
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?
165 shares @ 96.8¢·now 96.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$159.72
$-0.03
- YES
Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch?
150 shares @ 82.0¢·now 96.7¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$144.97
$21.98
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
100 shares @ 50.0¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$97.95
$47.95
- YES
Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch?
100 shares @ 75.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$72.50
$-2.50
- YES
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
2143 shares @ 1.4¢·now 3.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$65.36
$35.36
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?
57 shares @ 88.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$52.16
$1.99
- YES
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?
50 shares @ 85.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$43.75
$1.25
- YES
Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027?
200 shares @ 10.0¢·now 17.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$34.00
$14.00
- NO
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
50 shares @ 51.2¢·now 50.7¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$25.37
$-0.23
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jun 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 12, 00:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$34.71Jun 11, 20:23 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 10, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 9, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 8, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 7, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 6, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 5, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lars Løkke Rasmussen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?$33.00Jun 4, 08:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 4, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 3, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYInk FDV above $100M one day after launch?$75.00Jun 2, 23:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYVariational FDV above $100M one day after launch?$0.87Jun 2, 07:57 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 2, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$49.00Jun 1, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYVariational FDV above $100M one day after launch?$9.97Jun 1, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYVariational FDV above $100M one day after launch?$10.10Jun 1, 06:31 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 1, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $41.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 19, 02:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.