Focused-Fir
0xcb9a6e70583d272bfff3cdc06282f8566e90399a
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$105.27
Total PnL
$-59.53
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- NO
Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of July 6 above $440?
55 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$55.05
$0.06
- NO
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $3.25 Week of July 6 2026?
38 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$38.04
$0.04
- NO
Will Demeke Mekonnen be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
12 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$12.18
$-0.02
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 19?
1021 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-3.06
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on April 19?
928 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-3.71
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in February?
715 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on February 15?
650 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.30
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 19?
603 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.21
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 19?
557 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.67
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?
525 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.05
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of July 6 above $440?$55.00Jul 10, 05:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $3.25 Week of July 6 2026?$38.00Jul 10, 05:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?$5.15Jul 10, 05:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $160 in June?$98.10Jul 10, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $160 in June?$98.00Jun 30, 11:11 UTC
- REDEEMGolden Knights vs. Hurricanes$5.71Jun 30, 11:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.00 on June 2?$92.09Jun 30, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.00 on June 2?$92.01Jun 1, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYGolden Knights vs. Hurricanes$2.44Jun 1, 08:13 UTC
- REDEEMRoland Garros WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Jil Teichmann$9.00Jun 1, 08:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 52-53°F on May 30?$13.41Jun 1, 08:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$72.07Jun 1, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$72.00May 31, 12:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoland Garros WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Jil Teichmann$8.12May 31, 11:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 30?$80.16May 31, 11:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 30?$80.01May 30, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Thunder$4.05May 30, 11:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Demeke Mekonnen be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?$12.20May 30, 11:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill V2Box Pro - V2Ray Client be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on May 29?$10.81May 30, 11:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?$86.05May 30, 11:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 68/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $69.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 19, 03:41 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 10, 05:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.