Growing-Lid
0xcba0b2e108b3974de8ff5bb592d4b0aced2597bf
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
195
Open notional
$874.91
Total PnL
$-18.0K
Realised
$3.8K
Win rate
87%
52 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 195- YES
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
800 shares @ 37.2¢·now 76.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$612.00
$314.00
- YES
No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027
958 shares @ 14.6¢·now 9.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$90.98
$-49.05
- YES
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
100 shares @ 89.5¢·now 56.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$56.79
$-32.71
- YES
Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
200 shares @ 25.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$51.00
$1.00
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
400 shares @ 11.4¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$45.80
$0.30
- YES
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?
45 shares @ 14.8¢·now 21.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.77
$3.07
- YES
X banned in any European country by December 31?
29 shares @ 35.8¢·now 30.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.56
$-1.66
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on November 27?
33888 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 27, 2025$0.00
$-548.78
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 13?
26273 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-26.27
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 30?
22000 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-100.91
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?$89.64May 31, 15:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$1.1KMay 31, 10:26 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.77May 31, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$93.00May 30, 16:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$68.00May 30, 16:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$18.35May 30, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$2.56May 30, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$18.35May 30, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$1.02May 30, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$16.98May 30, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$6.72May 30, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$3.02May 30, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$11.29May 30, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$2.24May 30, 16:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$89.70May 30, 16:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $40.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 00:34 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 52 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".