Ill-Fated-Naturalisation
0xcba15f3fbd47a435f8cd16a1f1d0878c99e24643
Wallet digest
Activity score
29/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
15
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-622.93
Realised
$-5.64
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
45500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-86.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
13450 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-61.98
- NO
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
8943 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-60.59
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
336 shares @ 38.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-129.05
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 26, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
326 shares @ 34.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-113.25
- YES
Will Al Okhdood SC win on 2026-01-26?
258 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- UP
XRP Up or Down - January 26, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
146 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-46.89
- YES
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-01-26?
104 shares @ 82.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-86.10
- NO
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-01-26?
85 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$5.00Jan 28, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$2.50Jan 28, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$6.00Jan 28, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$5.00Jan 28, 03:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$6.00Jan 28, 03:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$5.00Jan 28, 03:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$30.00Jan 27, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 27, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$30.00Jan 27, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$30.10Jan 27, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$30.00Jan 27, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$20.00Jan 27, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$21.00Jan 27, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$20.00Jan 27, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 27, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 27, 16:53 UTC
- REDEEMEyüpspor vs. Beşiktaş JK: Both Teams to Score$4.99Jan 27, 01:49 UTC
- REDEEMAl Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Okhdood SC: O/U 2.5$5.00Jan 27, 01:49 UTC
- REDEEMEyüpspor vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 2.5$5.00Jan 27, 01:49 UTC
- REDEEMAl Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Okhdood SC: O/U 1.5$5.00Jan 27, 01:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $86.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 26, 18:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 28, 16:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.