Valuable-Defeat
0xcba1e9813dfa35addb08ca32df372ef20b7d8eff
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$9.91
Total PnL
$-15.16
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
19 shares @ 52.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$9.71
$-0.29
- YES
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
57 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.20
$-0.88
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $60,000 on February 22?
7000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET
38 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
27 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET
1 shares @ 85.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Drone" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?$0.00Mar 21, 08:57 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$0.00Mar 20, 17:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET$0.00Mar 20, 17:27 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET$0.00Mar 20, 17:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on February 23?$0.00Mar 20, 17:26 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down on March 1?$0.00Mar 20, 16:21 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$0.00Mar 20, 16:21 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET$0.00Mar 20, 16:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 3?$0.00Mar 20, 16:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 3?$0.00Mar 20, 16:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$0.00Mar 20, 16:07 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET$0.01Mar 20, 16:07 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET$0.00Mar 20, 16:07 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$0.00Mar 20, 16:07 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET$0.00Mar 20, 16:07 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET$0.49Mar 6, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET$1.00Mar 6, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET$1.00Mar 6, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET$1.00Mar 6, 08:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?$0.02Mar 3, 17:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $1.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 1, 06:43 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 21, 08:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".