Academic-Fault
0xcba38f8e07955a5f45816753d7c4a6ae8af06055
Wallet digest
Activity score
38/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
48
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-15.4K
Realised
$-1.9K
Win rate
20%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 48- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 24?
130000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2025$0.00
$-398.58
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting?
102102 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.7K
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
85000 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-2.3K
- YES
Will GPT-5.5 not be released by April 30, 2026?
54321 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-236.24
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?
50000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?
50000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
47937 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-991.38
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?
31736 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2025$0.00
$-402.83
- YES
Will Karoline Leavitt say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during next White House press briefing?
25000 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
22000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-102.98
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$1.2KMay 18, 11:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$21.21May 18, 11:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$157.66May 18, 11:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$7.07May 18, 11:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$0.78May 18, 11:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$2.74May 18, 11:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$1.55May 18, 11:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$185.37May 18, 11:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$27.57May 18, 11:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$83.91May 18, 10:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$38.58May 18, 10:58 UTC
- REWARD$0.48May 18, 10:19 UTC
- REWARD$0.29May 18, 10:17 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$5.79May 18, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$4.15May 17, 22:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$91.28May 17, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$2.15May 17, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$2.35May 17, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$2.35May 17, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$88.35May 17, 21:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $155.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 17:00 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 11:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".