Informal-Quince
0xcbab0eb540b42d9016f1fa8887789ccbdd674c22
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$42.87
Total PnL
$-14.96
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?
13 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$12.64
$1.64
- NO
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?
12 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2025$12.31
$4.31
- YES
Bitcoin above $103,000 on January 24?
11 shares @ 55.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2025$10.56
$4.73
- NO
Will Trump pardon Roger Ver in his first 100 days?
7 shares @ 68.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2025$7.35
$2.35
- NO
Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?
130 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first week?
91 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before March?
27 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2025$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by January 31, 2025?
24 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $103,000 on January 24?$1.83Jan 21, 14:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US have fewer than 1000 COVID-19 cases on any day on or before September 1?$0.00Jan 21, 04:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the 7-day average COVID-19 case count in the US be less than 15,000 for the day of July 22? $0.00Jan 21, 04:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?$11.00Jan 21, 04:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first week?$10.00Jan 21, 04:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before March?$8.00Jan 21, 04:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?$8.00Jan 21, 04:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $120,000 by January 31, 2025?$5.00Jan 21, 04:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $103,000 on January 24?$4.00Jan 21, 04:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US have fewer than 1000 COVID-19 cases on any day on or before September 1?$0.00Jan 21, 04:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the 7-day average COVID-19 case count in the US be less than 15,000 for the day of July 22? $0.00Jan 21, 04:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?$5.00Jan 21, 04:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon Roger Ver in his first 100 days?$5.00Jan 21, 04:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 9
- Avg trade size
- $6.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 21, 04:03 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 21, 14:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.