Muted-Antechamber
0xcbb32a21877047c08d8c6eb8e912210c540dffaf
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
29
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.4K
Realised
$-3.48
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
1238 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-4.95
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- STARS
Islanders vs. Stars
706 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-437.43
- YES
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-11-25?
699 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-398.37
- HAWKS
Hawks vs. Wizards
537 shares @ 83.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 26, 2025$0.00
$-445.90
- SOUTHERN MISS
Texas State vs. Southern Miss
404 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-246.44
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- HAWKS
Spread: Hawks (-8.5)
320 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 26, 2025$0.00
$-188.65
- CANADIENS
Stars vs. Canadiens
260 shares @ 53.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-140.05
- YES
Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?
256 shares @ 78.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill England win on 2026-06-23?$69.33Jun 23, 19:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Portugal win on 2026-06-23?$69.68Jun 23, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win on 2026-06-23?$60.24Jun 23, 13:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win on 2026-06-22?$90.11Jun 23, 01:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-06-22?$82.22Jun 22, 19:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Argentina win on 2026-06-22?$82.29Jun 22, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-06-22?$56.50Jun 22, 10:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?$201.32Jun 20, 21:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Germany win on 2026-06-20?$200.22Jun 20, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-20?$782.91Jun 20, 18:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill United States win on 2026-06-19?$782.90Jun 19, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-19?$597.81Jun 19, 18:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Portugal win on 2026-06-17?$1.2KJun 17, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win on 2026-06-17?$1.0KJun 17, 16:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Argentina win on 2026-06-16?$1.1KJun 17, 03:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-06-16?$1.01Jun 16, 22:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-06-16?$769.56Jun 16, 22:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYKHL: CSKA Moscow vs. Avangard Omsk$29.77Apr 14, 16:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$24.99Feb 21, 04:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$99.97Feb 3, 14:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $174.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 25, 14:50 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 23, 19:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.