Jubilant-Park
0xcbdff20c9ec923cb9fe2572b179c1033304e6a49
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
20
Open notional
$9.3K
Total PnL
$-4.8K
Realised
$-993.49
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
5629 shares @ 37.4¢·now 34.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.9K
$-163.03
- YES
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
103087 shares @ 1.4¢·now 1.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.4K
$-75.87
- YES
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
6639 shares @ 19.9¢·now 17.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.2K
$-159.70
- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
3431 shares @ 29.1¢·now 25.9¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$890.40
$-109.60
- YES
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
29829 shares @ 3.2¢·now 2.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$850.13
$-107.09
- YES
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
4911 shares @ 17.9¢·now 17.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$834.87
$-45.97
- YES
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
8280 shares @ 6.3¢·now 8.8¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$732.78
$209.80
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
820 shares @ 61.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$446.72
$-53.28
- YES
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
8274 shares @ 4.5¢·now 5.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$426.10
$52.07
- YES
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
5206 shares @ 3.4¢·now 3.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$182.19
$7.20
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.36Jun 14, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$51.95Jun 13, 23:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?$39.39Jun 13, 23:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party hold between 210 and 214 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?$1.04Jun 13, 23:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$137.36Jun 13, 23:57 UTC
- YIELD$0.37Jun 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.37Jun 12, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$132.87Jun 11, 04:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?$103.31Jun 11, 04:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?$102.60Jun 11, 04:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 0% and 2%?$103.75Jun 11, 04:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 2% and 4%?$103.76Jun 11, 04:39 UTC
- YIELD$0.37Jun 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.36Jun 10, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.0KJun 9, 05:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?$258.10Jun 9, 05:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$516.00Jun 9, 05:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?$1.9KJun 9, 05:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?$446.85Jun 9, 05:36 UTC
- YIELD$0.32Jun 9, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $359.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 2, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.