Knotty-Begonia
0xcbe11b97ccadc6acdb76a53dab6a7b89eb7736b9
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-100.52
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
714 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
138 shares @ 10.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-14.07
- YES
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-21?
35 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-20.65
- YES
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?
30 shares @ 76.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-22.80
- YES
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-09?
29 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 9, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?
13 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?$30.00Mar 27, 22:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?$15.30Mar 21, 16:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-14?$30.00Mar 21, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-14?$22.20Mar 13, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?$22.80Mar 1, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-21?$20.65Feb 15, 12:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?$54.48Feb 1, 09:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?$20.00Jan 4, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?$11.60Jan 4, 06:46 UTC
- REDEEMMaduro out by January 31, 2026?$54.05Jan 4, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro out by January 31, 2026?$20.00Jan 3, 09:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-21?$35.71Dec 25, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-21?$20.00Dec 21, 07:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-20?$25.00Dec 21, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-20?$20.00Dec 20, 09:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid win on 2025-11-09?$20.00Nov 8, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 1, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET$14.07Nov 1, 11:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $5400 in October?$300.60Nov 1, 10:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $5400 in October?$300.00Oct 29, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?$20.00Oct 24, 17:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $33.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 20, 20:08 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 27, 22:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".