Agile-Mess
0xcbf83455dfe7880ddd758a270ea8693b822faa72
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$15.40
Total PnL
$-13.50
Realised
$0.93
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Mitt Romney endorse Kamala?
6 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$5.88
$0.88
- YES
Will SK win the most seats in the 2024 Saskatchewan general election?
5 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2024$5.43
$0.43
- YES
Trump sentenced to no prison time?
4 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2024$4.08
$0.08
- YES
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
10500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-10.50
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win Nevada Presidential Election?
1000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 2, 2024$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Fed cut interest rates 2 times in 2024?
100 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2024$0.00
$-2.33
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win Nevada Presidential Election?$0.07Oct 29, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win Nevada Presidential Election?$0.43Oct 29, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win Nevada Presidential Election?$2.50Oct 7, 18:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Border" 15 or more times during Michigan rally?$5.32Oct 7, 18:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fed cut interest rates 2 times in 2024?$5.60Oct 4, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fed cut interest rates 2 times in 2024?$0.48Oct 4, 05:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fed cut interest rates 2 times in 2024?$1.72Oct 4, 05:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fed cut interest rates 2 times in 2024?$4.80Oct 3, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ron DeSantis win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$10.50Oct 3, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Border" 15 or more times during Michigan rally?$5.00Oct 3, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mitt Romney endorse Kamala?$5.00Oct 3, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SK win the most seats in the 2024 Saskatchewan general election?$5.00Oct 3, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump sentenced to no prison time?$4.00Oct 3, 18:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $3.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 3, 18:37 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 29, 10:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".