Breakable-Withdrawal
0xcbfa8b44a58fa6f03a8519bb7059036ce26a289e
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$2.50
Total PnL
$-302.86
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
26 shares @ 38.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.50
$-7.50
- YES
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?
1389 shares @ 15.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-212.10
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by March 31?
333 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-39.93
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?
273 shares @ 12.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-33.33
- YES
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026?
59 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Kupiansk by March 31?$39.93Jan 7, 12:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jan 1, 00:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Dec 31, 00:02 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Dec 30, 00:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Dec 29, 00:04 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Dec 26, 00:03 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Dec 25, 00:03 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Dec 24, 00:03 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Dec 23, 00:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Dec 22, 00:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Dec 21, 00:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Dec 20, 00:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Dec 19, 00:04 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Dec 18, 00:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Dec 17, 00:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Dec 16, 00:02 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Dec 15, 00:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Dec 14, 00:01 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Dec 13, 00:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?$10.10Dec 12, 14:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $27.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 2, 16:17 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 7, 12:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.