Noted-Lark
0xcc0399f6bc7b535a8b9cc610544fe8a7fa865bab
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-264.45
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
1000 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2024$0.00
$-47.00
- NO
Biden skips Kamala's DNC speech?
556 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 29, 2024$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Karen Bass out as Mayor of LA before April?
250 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-39.98
- YES
Will the AfD win over 30% of the vote in the German election?
224 shares @ 6.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-13.97
- YES
Will Bitcoin hit $100k today?
144 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 23, 2024$0.00
$-13.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in November?
111 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2024$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in November?
101 shares @ 19.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2024$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?
100 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 23, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in November?
88 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2024$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Iran military response by Monday?
84 shares @ 11.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 12, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on October 31?$21.50Oct 31, 07:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on October 31?$9.00Oct 30, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66?$35.50Oct 30, 20:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$66.09Oct 30, 20:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$25.00Oct 28, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?$10.00Oct 24, 15:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYKaren Bass out as Mayor of LA before April?$39.98Jan 18, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the AfD win over 30% of the vote in the German election?$13.97Jan 3, 11:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $100k today?$13.00Nov 23, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $120,000 in November?$20.00Nov 13, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $110,000 in November?$30.00Nov 13, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $105,000 in November?$30.00Nov 13, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBiden skips Kamala's DNC speech?$5.00Aug 22, 12:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?$10.00Aug 22, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran military response by Monday?$10.00Aug 10, 09:00 UTC
- REDEEMBiden drops out of presidential race?$166.20Jul 26, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hillary Clinton win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?$47.00Jul 21, 18:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?$0.00Jul 21, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?$10.00Jun 29, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBiden drops out of presidential race?$40.00Jun 29, 18:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $23.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 15, 07:25 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 31, 07:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".