0xcc044c47e5c22f86fd5c9c88a776de0f040b6312
0xcc044c47e5c22f86fd5c9c88a776de0f040b6312
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$14.72
Total PnL
$-8.99
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Yan Diomande join Real Madrid?
10 shares @ 82.0¢·now 84.0¢·exp Sep 2, 2026$8.12
$0.19
- YES
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2026-08-01?
4 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$3.66
$1.83
- YES
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m?
3 shares @ 71.0¢·now 85.0¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$2.94
$0.48
- YES
Will Real Madrid win on 2026-08-01?
9 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.00
$-6.10
- YES
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-07-31?
8 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.39
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Borussia Dortmund win on 2026-08-01?$1.88Aug 1, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m?$2.51Aug 1, 04:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid win on 2026-08-01?$6.23Jul 31, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-07-31?$5.50Jul 31, 07:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Chelsea FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers end in a draw?$0.00Jul 28, 18:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Western Sydney Wanderers win on 2026-07-28?$0.00Jul 28, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Western Sydney Wanderers win on 2026-07-28?$1.05Jul 28, 10:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers end in a draw?$1.04Jul 28, 10:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yan Diomande join Real Madrid?$8.04Jul 25, 17:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$11.52Jul 20, 06:20 UTC
- REDEEMSpain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score$0.00Jul 19, 22:31 UTC
- REDEEMSpain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?$15.44Jul 19, 22:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill France vs. England end in a draw?$0.00Jul 18, 23:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill France vs. England end in a draw?$0.00Jul 18, 23:40 UTC
- REDEEMFrance vs. England: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?$0.00Jul 18, 23:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win on 2026-07-18?$0.00Jul 18, 23:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?$5.13Jul 17, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score$3.42Jul 17, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-18?$4.61Jul 17, 11:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. England: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?$1.05Jul 17, 11:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
13 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $3.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 16, 21:09 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 1, 10:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.