Marvelous-Chives
0xcc0c9a196a41b37fe389e4e9cc6ce94d35f2e621
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$45.27
Total PnL
$-121.72
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1250 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$11.88
$-8.13
- NO
US civil war in 2025?
10 shares @ 95.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$10.45
$0.45
- NO
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
11 shares @ 92.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$9.29
$-0.71
- YES
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
8 shares @ 62.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$8.06
$3.06
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
28 shares @ 36.0¢·now 20.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$5.60
$-4.40
- YES
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
6500 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2024$0.00
$-42.00
- YES
Will Doctors Without Borders (Médecins Sans Frontières) win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
111 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Trump say "China" 3 or more times at debate?
42 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 10, 2024$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Kamala say "inflation" at debate?
36 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 10, 2024$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Trump say "border czar" at debate?
25 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 10, 2024$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 8, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 7, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 6, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 5, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 4, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 3, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 2, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 1, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 30, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 29, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 28, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 27, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 26, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 25, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 26, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.