Clumsy-Attic
0xcc1132daa61136ede5d60855f2dfeb4ec742dadb
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
152
Open notional
$16.75
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$-41.82
Win rate
44%
27 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 152- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on July 23?
38 shares @ 41.5¢·now 43.5¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$16.50
$0.76
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on July 23?
5 shares @ 59.0¢·now 5.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$0.24
$-2.67
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on June 1?
826 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?
492 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-78.78
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on May 27?
89 shares @ 22.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 24?
87 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-19.22
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on May 31?
75 shares @ 26.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on May 31?
71 shares @ 17.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-12.70
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on May 17?
68 shares @ 29.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 18?
65 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-7.75
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on July 23?$16.20Jul 23, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on July 23?$2.97Jul 23, 04:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on July 22?$6.48Jul 22, 21:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on July 22?$9.54Jul 22, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on July 22?$15.60Jul 22, 13:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 22?$43.10Jul 22, 12:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on July 22?$4.18Jul 22, 11:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on July 22?$4.03Jul 22, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 22?$20.51Jul 22, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on July 22?$6.95Jul 22, 05:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 22?$13.82Jul 21, 19:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on July 21?$26.51Jul 21, 17:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on July 21?$11.72Jul 21, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on July 21?$20.52Jul 21, 06:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on July 20?$3.12Jul 20, 22:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on July 20?$6.92Jul 20, 22:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on July 20?$2.47Jul 20, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on July 20?$1.22Jul 20, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on July 20?$1.38Jul 20, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on July 20?$1.84Jul 20, 06:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
52/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
44% win rate over 27 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
27 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $6.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 13, 14:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 08:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 27 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.