Lively-Duffel
0xcc1a64b2850048430486e5a874407ab71839b75e
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$88.54
Total PnL
$-2.65
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on December 2?
89 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$88.54
$0.35
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
13 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on October 25?
7 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on December 2?$88.19Dec 1, 23:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,700 on November 14?$8.36Dec 1, 23:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?$79.83Dec 1, 23:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,700 on November 14?$8.35Nov 14, 01:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on November 11?$8.35Nov 14, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on November 11?$8.33Nov 10, 21:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WLD hit $1.3 by December 31?$6.75Nov 10, 21:52 UTC
- TRADESELLOver $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?$1.58Oct 29, 02:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?$10.21Oct 26, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on October 25?$1.00Oct 24, 21:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?$10.77Oct 24, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WLD hit $1.3 by December 31?$2.05Oct 22, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WLD hit $1.3 by December 31?$8.20Oct 22, 07:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?$60.00Oct 21, 23:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin hit $100k or $130k first?$57.90Oct 21, 23:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $100k or $130k first?$60.00Oct 21, 23:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?$40.00Oct 21, 21:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on October 21?$0.10Oct 21, 14:22 UTC
- TRADESELLOver $10M committed to the ZKLSOL raise on MetaDAO?$63.99Oct 20, 23:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $10M committed to the ZKLSOL raise on MetaDAO?$23.78Oct 20, 20:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $28.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 19, 21:58 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 1, 23:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".