Distorted-Hand
0xcc1eaa696b7c8c8542d82e66baec5e3f79fdd356
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
45
Open notional
$36.41
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$12.13
Win rate
100%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 45- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
159 shares @ 10.6¢·now 11.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$18.55
$1.67
- YES
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1429 shares @ 1.4¢·now 1.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$17.86
$-2.14
- NO
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 1, 2026?
15238 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-540.90
- YES
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?
5170 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-171.99
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Israel" or "Gaza" during the 2026 State of the Union address?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET
766 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-25.98
- YES
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the 2026 State of the Union address?
637 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET
536 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-14.99
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET
472 shares @ 9.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-44.89
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$109.59Jun 13, 05:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$80.65Jun 13, 01:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?$10.28Jun 13, 01:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$17.33Jun 13, 00:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$20.59Jun 13, 00:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Africa win on 2026-06-11?$2.06Jun 11, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Africa win on 2026-06-11?$51.46Jun 11, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYMexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score$20.40Jun 11, 19:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Africa win on 2026-06-11?$102.67Jun 11, 16:08 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET$13.39Jun 11, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Africa win on 2026-06-11?$20.53Jun 11, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET$10.00Mar 15, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET$10.00Mar 15, 06:31 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET$19.57Mar 15, 06:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET$5.00Mar 15, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET$10.00Mar 15, 06:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran on March 2, 2026?$4.95Mar 1, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran on March 1, 2026?$50.00Mar 1, 05:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran on March 2, 2026?$34.93Feb 28, 21:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $22.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 25, 05:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.