Separate-Complement
0xcc1ec61705d3f5f1c416d3595464a94cf3f5f4ed
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$183.11
Total PnL
$-50.51
Realised
$-16.62
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
730 shares @ 13.7¢·now 13.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$99.64
$-0.36
- YES
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?
75 shares @ 66.3¢·now 67.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$50.87
$0.87
- YES
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?
55 shares @ 45.5¢·now 39.5¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$21.71
$-3.29
- YES
Japan leading at halftime?
22 shares @ 50.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$10.89
$-0.11
- YES
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?
42 shares @ 47.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Folarin Balogun: 3+ shots
16 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Japan win on 2026-06-21?$8.08Jun 21, 01:56 UTC
- TRADESELLTunisia vs. Japan: O/U 2.5$43.29Jun 21, 01:55 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: Ecuador (-1.5)$0.03Jun 21, 01:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan win on 2026-06-21?$22.21Jun 21, 01:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYJapan leading at halftime?$11.16Jun 21, 01:35 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: Ecuador (-1.5)$1.76Jun 21, 01:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Ecuador (-1.5)$3.07Jun 21, 01:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Ecuador (-1.5)$2.04Jun 21, 01:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Ecuador (-1.5)$5.08Jun 21, 00:37 UTC
- TRADESELLEcuador vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 0.5$10.05Jun 21, 00:29 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 21, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYTunisia vs. Japan: O/U 2.5$44.71Jun 20, 23:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Ecuador (-1.5)$10.10Jun 20, 22:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYEcuador vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 0.5$10.12Jun 20, 22:58 UTC
- TRADESELLGermany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Germany O/U 1.5$9.74Jun 20, 21:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Germany win on 2026-06-20? AND Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?$6.84Jun 20, 21:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYGermany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Germany O/U 1.5$7.12Jun 20, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYGermany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Germany O/U 1.5$10.14Jun 20, 20:24 UTC
- TRADESELLGermany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Germany O/U 1.5$17.71Jun 20, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYGermany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Germany O/U 1.5$5.07Jun 20, 20:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 63/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $13.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 19, 17:43 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 21, 01:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.