0xcc264f3743b7950a59802907b622b7d410192f27
0xcc264f3743b7950a59802907b622b7d410192f27
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-145.37
Realised
$69.15
Win rate
93%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- 100 THIEVES
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana: European Closed Qualifier Playoffs
4845 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.98
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C or below on April 21?
1825 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-3.76
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C or higher on April 21?
1762 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-3.35
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on April 21?
1758 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.76
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 34-35°F on April 22?
1758 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.76
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 26°C or below on April 21?
1758 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.76
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 48-49°F on April 21?
1758 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.76
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on April 21?
1700 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-2.99
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on April 21?
1612 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-2.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on April 21?
1500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLGame 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?$0.05May 5, 16:14 UTC
- TRADESELLGame 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?$0.33May 5, 16:14 UTC
- TRADESELLGame 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?$0.20May 5, 16:14 UTC
- TRADESELLGame 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?$0.13May 5, 16:14 UTC
- TRADESELLGame 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?$0.10May 5, 16:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pierre Gasly win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?$0.05May 3, 17:04 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: Hellas Verona FC (-2.5)$0.10May 3, 16:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 5°C on May 2?$0.02May 2, 10:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 60-61°F on May 2?$0.04May 2, 10:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 60-61°F on May 2?$0.03May 2, 10:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 10°C or below on May 2?$0.19May 2, 05:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 98-99°F on May 2?$0.14May 2, 04:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on May 2?$0.48May 2, 01:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on May 2?$0.25May 2, 01:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 5°C on May 2?$0.03May 2, 00:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on May 2?$0.19May 1, 22:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C or higher on May 2?$0.08May 1, 22:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C or higher on May 2?$0.07May 1, 22:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 43°C on May 2?$0.20May 1, 20:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on May 2?$0.75May 1, 19:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
34/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
93% win rate over 14 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 31/100.
14 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 1, 08:45 UTC
- Last active
- May 5, 16:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.