Pink-Making-Leap
0xcc3e670fe5b5297da01fc989b7fd42815b4f0e8d
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$80.44
Total PnL
$-12.0K
Realised
$105.49
Win rate
33%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Iran full airspace closure by July 24?
1238 shares @ 8.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$80.44
$-18.56
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
9287 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-92.87
- YES
Will Egypt reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
5598 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-80.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET
2187 shares @ 8.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-186.83
- YES
Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
1673 shares @ 14.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-250.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET
1558 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-187.33
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
1502 shares @ 12.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-187.38
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET
1312 shares @ 6.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-86.00
- YES
Will Egypt reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1210 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-46.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET
1199 shares @ 6.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-81.16
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIran full airspace closure by July 24?$99.00Jul 21, 12:26 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET$0.00Jul 21, 11:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET$52.83Jul 21, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET$31.39Jul 21, 11:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET$31.39Jul 21, 08:06 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET$0.00Jul 21, 07:47 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET$93.75Jul 21, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET$31.43Jul 21, 07:40 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET$0.00Jul 21, 07:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET$31.72Jul 21, 07:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET$0.01Jul 21, 07:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET$31.97Jul 21, 07:34 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET$69.01Jul 21, 07:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET$31.20Jul 21, 07:30 UTC
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?$39.94Jul 21, 07:29 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael closes its airspace by July 24?$51.41Jul 21, 07:29 UTC
- TRADESELLIran full airspace closure by July 24?$86.97Jul 21, 07:29 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$0.00Jul 20, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?$54.00Jul 20, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$31.83Jul 20, 15:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
17/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $74.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 19, 15:09 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 12:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.