Merry-Word
0xcc410792f551f3fef67f8b9a80d147c3754b6609
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$10.97
Total PnL
$-11.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
563 shares @ 1.6¢·now 1.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$10.97
$1.97
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
3302 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.7K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
3302 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.7K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
3000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.5K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
3000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.5K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET
2500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
1504 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-752.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
1404 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-702.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Apr 29, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$9.00Apr 1, 07:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill annual inflation in Argentina increase by between 30% and 32.9% in January 2026?$2.06Apr 1, 07:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Bridgerton: Season 4" be the top global Netflix show this week? (February 10)$3.06Apr 1, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Bridgerton: Season 4" be the top global Netflix show this week? (February 10)$3.00Feb 7, 05:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation in Argentina increase by between 30% and 32.9% in January 2026?$2.00Feb 7, 04:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?$1.01Feb 7, 04:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold close at $3,200 or more at the end of 2025?$1.01Feb 7, 04:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lilo and Stitch be the second highest grossing movie of 2025?$1.02Feb 7, 04:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the ECB announce no change at the December meeting?$1.02Feb 7, 04:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.08Feb 7, 04:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.00Jan 7, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?$1.00Dec 17, 01:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lilo and Stitch be the second highest grossing movie of 2025?$1.00Dec 17, 01:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$1.04Dec 17, 01:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$1.00Dec 11, 01:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce no change at the December meeting?$1.00Dec 4, 02:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close at $3,200 or more at the end of 2025?$1.00Dec 4, 02:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?$1.02Dec 4, 02:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?$1.00Nov 24, 08:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $292.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 20, 05:35 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 29, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.