Loyal-Gobbler
0xcc45a1754a37c50af045821d42f30f336c090e27
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on June 18?$39.78Jun 18, 22:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on June 18?$36.17Jun 18, 05:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on May 27?$35.29May 27, 23:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on May 27?$33.11May 27, 01:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on May 16?$33.68May 16, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on May 16?$32.08May 16, 02:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 12?$2.07May 12, 18:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 12?$205.87May 12, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 12?$30.33May 12, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 12?$15.14May 12, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 12?$50.79May 12, 12:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 12?$114.44May 12, 11:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 12?$0.43May 12, 08:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 12?$47.35May 12, 08:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 12?$50.39May 12, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 12?$50.50May 12, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 12?$50.50May 12, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 12?$50.30May 11, 10:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 12?$50.30May 11, 10:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 12?$50.23May 11, 10:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $81.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 27, 14:42 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 18, 22:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.