Unfortunate-Algorithm
0xcc46337e91b360c58b9be58bcb680a2bfe826e78
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$13.58
Total PnL
$-6.59
Realised
$-1.07
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Zeneca win the Synthetix trading competition?
6 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$5.73
$0.01
- YES
Will Applied Materials (AMAT) beat quarterly earnings?
3 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$3.33
$0.33
- NO
Anthropic acquired in 2025?
2 shares @ 97.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.04
$0.04
- NO
Will Zoomer win the Synthetix trading competition?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$1.39
$0.00
- NO
Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2025?
1 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.09
$0.09
- YES
Will Francesca Muñoz win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Paetongtarn Shinawatra out as Prime Minister of Thailand in July?
4 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Brazil’s 12-month inflation below 5.50% for December 2025?
1 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump designate ANTIFA a terrorist organization by September 30?
1 shares @ 91.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Zeneca win the Synthetix trading competition?$259.36Nov 12, 04:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnthropic acquired in 2025?$2.00Nov 10, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Applied Materials (AMAT) beat quarterly earnings?$3.00Nov 10, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zeneca win the Synthetix trading competition?$265.20Nov 10, 07:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zoomer win the Synthetix trading competition?$270.96Nov 10, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zoomer win the Synthetix trading competition?$273.30Nov 10, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Francesca Muñoz win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?$2.00Nov 10, 07:52 UTC
- REDEEMUS government shutdown in 2025?$1.43Nov 10, 07:50 UTC
- REDEEMNothing Ever Happens: September$2.11Nov 10, 07:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: September$2.00Sep 23, 08:12 UTC
- REDEEMIranian hackers release Trump emails by next Friday?$1.18Sep 23, 08:11 UTC
- REDEEMDiddy released by July 4?$2.06Sep 23, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit Russia in 2025?$1.00Sep 21, 09:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown in 2025?$1.00Sep 21, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump designate ANTIFA a terrorist organization by September 30? $1.00Sep 21, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYPaetongtarn Shinawatra out as Prime Minister of Thailand in July?$2.00Jul 3, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYDiddy released by July 4?$2.00Jul 3, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYIranian hackers release Trump emails by next Friday?$1.00Jul 3, 11:04 UTC
- REDEEMEnergy infrastructure ceasefire in Ukraine in March? $0.00Jul 3, 11:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 Chinese Grand Prix Sprint?$0.00Jul 3, 11:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 63/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $36.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 28, 07:57 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 12, 04:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.