This-Canoe
0xcc486b83c61d3948dcd0150e63a9bd596cd8bab5
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$3.2K
Total PnL
$26.21
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?
3583 shares @ 86.8¢·now 87.5¢·exp Sep 15, 2026$3.1K
$23.51
- YES
Will Cook Islands Party win the most seats in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?
14 shares @ 90.0¢·now 95.3¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$13.30
$0.75
- NO
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?
12 shares @ 83.0¢·now 99.5¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$11.98
$1.98
- YES
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
10 shares @ 96.7¢·now 98.6¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$10.20
$0.20
- YES
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?
10 shares @ 97.7¢·now 98.5¢·exp Sep 6, 2026$10.08
$0.08
- NO
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
11 shares @ 93.0¢·now 89.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$9.57
$-0.43
- YES
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?
2 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 9, 2026$1.52
$0.09
- YES
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
1 shares @ 96.6¢·now 98.4¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- YES
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
1 shares @ 83.0¢·now 84.0¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$1.01
$0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?$3.1KAug 11, 14:24 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$3.1KAug 11, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$3.0KAug 10, 02:20 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$3.0KAug 10, 02:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?$1.43Aug 4, 15:43 UTC
- TRADESELL0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?$1.05Aug 4, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$2.8KAug 2, 04:24 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?$2.75Aug 2, 04:23 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1?$2.8KAug 2, 04:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1?$2.7KAug 1, 17:15 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?$2.6KAug 1, 17:14 UTC
- REDEEMKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?$1.01Aug 1, 06:04 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$10.25Aug 1, 06:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?$10.87Aug 1, 00:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?$2.6KJul 31, 21:09 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?$2.6KJul 31, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?$3.5KJul 31, 14:20 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$3.5KJul 31, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cook Islands Party win the most seats in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?$12.60Jul 30, 14:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Carlos Vila Nova win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?$12.60Jul 30, 07:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $1.1K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 2, 21:45 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 11, 14:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.