Delightful-Harmonise
0xcc5803796f6ce4f37dd09d48bf4ebcc5bf588e49
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$41.56
Total PnL
$0.68
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?
5 shares @ 93.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.02
$0.32
- NO
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?
5 shares @ 94.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.01
$0.29
- NO
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by January 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$4.72
$0.02
- NO
US strike on Mexico by January 31?
4 shares @ 96.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.52
$0.12
- NO
Ramp IPO in 2025?
3 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$3.03
$0.02
- NO
Will Theo launch a token by December 31 2025?
3 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.92
$0.01
- YES
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
2 shares @ 78.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.43
$0.53
- NO
Zama FDV above $3B one day after launch?
2 shares @ 98.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.34
$0.03
- NO
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations by March 31?
2 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$2.27
$0.07
- NO
Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon in 2025?
2 shares @ 97.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.95
$0.05
Recent activity
- REDEEMXi Jinping out in 2025?$5.16Jan 25, 23:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall in 2025?$6.85Jan 25, 23:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYNicolás Maduro released from custody by January 31, 2026?$2.30Jan 17, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYZama FDV above $3B one day after launch?$2.31Jan 17, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Mexico by January 31?$1.10Jan 17, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYNicolás Maduro released from custody by January 31, 2026?$2.40Jan 17, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? $1.11Jan 17, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYParadex FDV above $3B one day after launch?$1.61Jan 17, 19:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Mexico by January 31?$2.30Jan 17, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Theo launch a token by December 31 2025?$2.91Dec 21, 10:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael and Saudi Arabia normalize relations by March 31?$2.20Dec 21, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon Steve Bannon in 2025?$1.90Dec 21, 10:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?$0.00Dec 14, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYRamp IPO in 2025?$3.01Dec 12, 03:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnthropic IPO in 2025?$1.91Dec 12, 03:34 UTC
- REDEEMPelicans vs. Lakers$0.00Dec 8, 00:24 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?$1.36Dec 8, 00:24 UTC
- REDEEMMonad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$1.57Dec 8, 00:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the most valuable company on October 31?$1.61Dec 8, 00:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$1.74Dec 8, 00:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $16.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 19, 16:33 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 25, 23:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.