Guilty-Pattypan
0xcc76df9c6df67b7583a6ef4dc56701cbaf9ecd33
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.8K
Realised
$174.46
Win rate
90%
21 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - March 1, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
XRP Up or Down - February 23, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - February 25, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - February 25, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
XRP Up or Down - February 23, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
XRP Up or Down - February 23, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - February 23, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - February 23, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - February 23, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - February 23, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - February 23, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$0.00Mar 24, 02:16 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - February 23, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$0.00Mar 24, 02:16 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - February 23, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET$0.00Mar 24, 02:16 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - February 23, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$0.00Mar 24, 02:16 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - February 25, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET$0.00Mar 24, 02:16 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - February 23, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET$0.00Mar 24, 02:16 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - February 23, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET$0.00Mar 24, 02:16 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - February 23, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET$0.00Mar 24, 02:16 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - February 23, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET$0.00Mar 24, 02:16 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET$0.00Mar 24, 02:16 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - February 23, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET$0.00Mar 24, 02:16 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - February 23, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET$0.00Mar 24, 02:16 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - February 23, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET$0.00Mar 24, 02:16 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET$0.00Mar 24, 02:16 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET$0.00Mar 24, 02:16 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET$0.00Mar 24, 02:16 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$0.00Mar 24, 02:16 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET$0.00Mar 24, 02:16 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - February 23, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET$0.00Mar 24, 02:16 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$0.00Mar 24, 02:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
44/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
90% win rate over 21 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
21 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 24, 02:15 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 24, 02:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 21 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.