Lonely-Incidence
0xcc805cf725766f034acc4c1dfa409474cc7dbcbb
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$10.42
Total PnL
$0.02
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on May 17?
5 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$5.01
$0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C or higher on May 17?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$2.40
$0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on May 17?
2 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$1.90
$0.00
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on May 17?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$1.10
$0.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on May 17?$1.10May 17, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C or higher on May 17?$2.40May 17, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on May 17?$1.90May 17, 06:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 21-27?$1.03May 17, 06:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Khamenei post 10-14 posts from April 14 to April 21, 2026?$2.30May 17, 06:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on April 21?$2.30May 17, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on May 17?$2.50May 17, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on May 17?$2.50May 17, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 21-27?$1.00Apr 22, 01:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei post 10-14 posts from April 14 to April 21, 2026?$2.30Apr 22, 01:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on April 21?$2.30Apr 22, 01:49 UTC
- TRADESELLXi Jinping out before 2027?$912.91Mar 28, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out before 2027?$412.38Mar 28, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out before 2027?$439.44Mar 28, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out before 2027?$61.09Mar 28, 09:26 UTC
- TRADESELLEdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?$995.70Mar 28, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYEdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?$998.00Mar 28, 09:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$923.25Mar 28, 08:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$48.30Mar 28, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$633.04Mar 28, 08:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $497.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 28, 07:19 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 06:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.