Agonizing-Ironclad
0xcc80d2fe211ec3308012f782577254b0e3772bc1
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
29
Open notional
$62.15
Total PnL
$-626.53
Realised
$-72.56
Win rate
17%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- YES
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?
1000 shares @ 3.1¢·now 3.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$33.51
$2.18
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
127 shares @ 9.1¢·now 8.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$10.20
$-1.33
- YES
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?
619 shares @ 14.5¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.66
$-81.02
- YES
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by June 30, 2026?
300 shares @ 5.5¢·now 1.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.90
$-12.60
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?
500 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.00
$-21.00
- YES
Will John Fleming be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?
40 shares @ 20.1¢·now 3.5¢·exp May 16, 2026$1.38
$-6.68
- NO
Will Ed Gallrein win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by 9% or more?
130 shares @ 12.2¢·now 1.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$1.30
$-14.65
- YES
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
200 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.10
$-17.90
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
20 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.09
$-0.01
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce Eric Shmitt as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?
3003 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-4.36
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$0.10Jun 13, 07:41 UTC
- REDEEMBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?$0.00Jun 2, 18:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?$0.00Jun 2, 12:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 30, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 29, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 28, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 27, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?$6.16May 26, 10:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 26, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ed Gallrein win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by 9% or more?$1.92May 25, 21:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 25, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ed Gallrein win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by 9% or more?$4.27May 24, 12:04 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 24, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 23, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 22, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 21, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$11.85May 20, 01:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $13.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 05:57 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 07:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.