Electric-Instructor
0xcc8d2bfadd6f5770f3b81b8be91d93d12d880939
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
129
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.0K
Realised
$-155.52
Win rate
44%
45 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 129- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 26, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
807 shares @ 59.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 26, 2025$0.00
$-477.94
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 27, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
740 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 27, 2025$0.00
$-118.58
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
707 shares @ 12.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2025$0.00
$-86.80
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
700 shares @ 49.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2025$0.00
$-345.89
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET
643 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-20.72
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 2?
504 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-18.80
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 2?
497 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-7.76
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 2?
492 shares @ 18.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-92.36
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on July 1?
421 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.52
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 2?
412 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-4.57
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$7.28Jul 12, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$3.63Jul 12, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET$1.50Jul 12, 09:27 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET$2.86Jul 12, 09:26 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET$1.00Jul 12, 09:26 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET$1.09Jul 12, 09:26 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET$0.64Jul 12, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET$3.61Jul 12, 09:24 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET$9.00Jul 12, 09:22 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET$1.40Jul 12, 09:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET$7.93Jul 12, 09:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET$1.92Jul 12, 09:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET$3.08Jul 12, 09:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET$1.58Jul 12, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET$3.18Jul 12, 09:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C on July 12?$0.15Jul 12, 09:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C on July 12?$0.14Jul 12, 09:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C on July 12?$0.30Jul 12, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on July 12?$0.57Jul 12, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on July 12?$0.69Jul 12, 08:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
56/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
44% win rate over 45 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 24/100.
45 closed markets, 44% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $2.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 12, 03:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 12, 09:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 45 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.