Reasonable-Washcloth
0xcc970bff150632cc3a9d9231567be55810e913c0
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
6
Open notional
$3.1K
Total PnL
$-21.25
Realised
$-178.09
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
3200 shares @ 60.1¢·now 95.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.1K
$1.1K
- YES
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 4.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$93.00
$-907.00
- YES
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
3 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.02
$-0.01
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $70K in September?
5866 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-17.60
- YES
Will World Liberty Financial be accused of insider trading?
1600 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-46.60
- YES
Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
200 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-0.60
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.28Jul 29, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.28Jul 28, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.28Jul 27, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.28Jul 26, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.28Jul 25, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.28Jul 24, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.28Jul 23, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.28Jul 22, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.28Jul 21, 20:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.28Jul 21, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.28Jul 19, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.28Jul 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.28Jul 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.28Jul 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.28Jul 15, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.28Jul 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.28Jul 13, 00:12 UTC
- REWARD$1.27Jul 13, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLIran charges Hormuz fees by July 15?$10.44Jul 12, 06:55 UTC
- TRADESELLIran charges Hormuz fees by July 31?$32.00Jul 12, 00:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
15/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
28 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 74/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $14.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 10, 14:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.