Windy-Toothbrush
0xcc9a9f2d23655dcb1faa2477e722d99c7ab2892a
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
64
Open notional
$10.10
Total PnL
$-18.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 64- NO
Will Trump pardon Elon Musk in 2025?
1 shares @ 97.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31?
1 shares @ 98.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Ethereum hit $14,000 by December 31?
1 shares @ 98.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?
1 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the December meeting?
1 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?
1 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Ethereum hit $17,000 by December 31?
1 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?
1 shares @ 98.9¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.00
$0.01
- NO
Will Michael Mizrachi win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
1 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Tom Zhu be announced as the next CEO of Tesla?
1 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.00
$0.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?$1.01Dec 11, 06:19 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.02Dec 11, 06:19 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$97.50Dec 4, 05:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$97.50Dec 4, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET$500.00Dec 4, 04:24 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$500.00Dec 4, 04:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$250.00Dec 4, 02:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$250.00Dec 4, 02:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$250.00Dec 4, 02:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$250.00Dec 4, 02:34 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$1.0KDec 4, 02:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$55.03Dec 4, 01:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$444.97Dec 4, 01:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Drake be the third most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?$1.01Dec 4, 01:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?$1.01Dec 4, 01:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$500.00Dec 4, 01:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$50.00Dec 3, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$200.00Dec 3, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET$250.00Dec 3, 10:03 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$500.00Dec 3, 10:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 61/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $199.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 3, 04:54 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 11, 06:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.