Wallet digest

active

Activity score

72/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

Open notional

$157.31

Total PnL

$-758.40

Realised

$0.00

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 14

YES
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
594 shares @ 24.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027
$157.31
$14.84
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET
486 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026
$0.00
$-194.38
YES
Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?
428 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025
$0.00
$-29.97
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET
372 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026
$0.00
$-6.50
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET
343 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026
$0.00
$-161.23
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET
300 shares @ 27.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026
$0.00
$-81.63
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET
245 shares @ 23.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026
$0.00
$-56.68
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET
220 shares @ 17.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026
$0.00
$-37.61
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET
189 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026
$0.00
$-54.92
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET
136 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026
$0.00
$-47.66

Recent activity

TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET$51.09Apr 17, 00:59 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET$86.15Apr 16, 01:00 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET$10.00Apr 16, 00:58 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET$10.00Apr 16, 00:57 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET$10.00Apr 16, 00:56 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET$10.00Apr 16, 00:56 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET$6.00Apr 16, 00:54 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET$1.00Apr 16, 00:54 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET$133.24Apr 16, 00:50 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET$125.81Apr 16, 00:49 UTC
TRADEBUYValorant: AB3 Esports vs Contra (BO3) - VCL Latin America North: ACE Masters Group B$20.00Apr 16, 00:14 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$29.23Apr 15, 21:48 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$20.00Apr 15, 21:48 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$26.43Apr 15, 21:44 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$10.00Apr 15, 21:43 UTC
TRADESELLCounter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B$43.29Apr 15, 21:42 UTC
TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B$20.00Apr 15, 21:33 UTC
TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B$20.00Apr 15, 21:32 UTC
TRADEBUYLoL: Sentinels vs Disguised (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffs$25.00Apr 15, 21:15 UTC
TRADESELLCounter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A$60.57Apr 15, 21:04 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity42 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence0 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry36 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk79 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 49
Avg trade size: $58.13
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Jul 7, 00:28 UTC
Last active: Apr 17, 00:59 UTC
Win rate sample: 0 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 16:21:51 UTC·src:Polymarket Data