0xcca13b6959ff30443caa576c630e715e67be7e1e
0xcca13b6959ff30443caa576c630e715e67be7e1e
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
117
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-887.88
Realised
$-31.08
Win rate
0%
117 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 117- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on July 11?
15445 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-78.37
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on May 17?
1810 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.81
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on July 30?
280 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.80
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 15?
278 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-16.32
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on May 15?
216 shares @ 6.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-14.70
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 2?
158 shares @ 11.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$0.00
$-18.46
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C or higher on May 24?
141 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-3.45
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on May 16?
125 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-7.44
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 31°C on May 16?
116 shares @ 7.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-8.52
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 31°C on May 15?
108 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-7.01
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on August 22?$27.31Aug 22, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on August 22?$11.61Aug 22, 14:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on August 21?$27.78Aug 21, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on August 21?$8.21Aug 21, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 21?$13.75Aug 21, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on August 21?$10.32Aug 21, 07:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 20?$16.90Aug 20, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on August 20?$3.59Aug 20, 07:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on August 19?$14.87Aug 19, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 19?$5.36Aug 19, 03:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 17?$15.15Aug 17, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on August 15?$13.11Aug 15, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on August 14?$18.95Aug 14, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on August 13?$13.92Aug 13, 07:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on August 11?$5.39Aug 11, 23:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on August 11?$37.08Aug 11, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on August 11?$2.27Aug 11, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on August 11?$13.56Aug 11, 07:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on August 9?$43.28Aug 9, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on August 9?$7.45Aug 9, 13:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
55/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 117 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 29/100.
117 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $12.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 26, 13:32 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 22, 23:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 117 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.