Biodegradable-Ownership
0xcca29487fe31f6c77d51707a97b1ad6cbc37fa31
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
199
Open notional
$0.17
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$3.30
Win rate
51%
35 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 199- YES
Will Revolut have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.17
$-0.83
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 18?
2020 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-8.50
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
1250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will SpaceX’s “High” share price on its first day of trading hit 250 (High)?
1013 shares @ 9.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 16?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on June 15?
600 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
538 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-29.86
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on June 23?
501 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.81
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 16?
400 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 37°C on June 24?
226 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-2.15
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on July 15?$1.95Jul 15, 11:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 15?$1.35Jul 15, 11:28 UTC
- REWARD$7.41Jul 15, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on July 14?$2.00Jul 14, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 14?$3.20Jul 14, 14:03 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET$7.79Jul 11, 18:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET$5.20Jul 11, 18:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 9?$5.00Jul 9, 23:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on July 9?$5.00Jul 9, 22:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 9?$3.55Jul 9, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on July 9?$2.25Jul 9, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 9?$0.58Jul 9, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 9?$1.46Jul 9, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 32°C on July 8?$2.70Jul 8, 15:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 7?$5.00Jul 7, 22:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on July 7?$3.30Jul 7, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on July 7?$0.60Jul 7, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on July 7?$0.22Jul 7, 13:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 7?$2.90Jul 7, 13:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 6?$5.00Jul 6, 22:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
52/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
51% win rate over 35 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
35 closed markets, 51% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $7.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 30, 15:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 11:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 35 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.