Giving-Supervision
0xcca4a62b6d2a6cadec35442ccb237c1688ca8995
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
38
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-91.71
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 38- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on January 23?
228 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.82
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 25?
224 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-4.04
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,500 on April 12?
221 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.60 and $1.70 on January 28?
219 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.19
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on March 3?
191 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.86
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on July 3?
184 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.47
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on March 4?
180 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-6.63
- YES
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $157.50 Week of April 13 2026?
161 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.45
- YES
Will Overtime with Bill Maher win Best Short-Form Program at the 37th PGA Awards?
158 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.42
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 25?
157 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-2.04
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.20 on July 3?$1.57Jul 2, 19:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Most Advanced" or "Most Powerful" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?$21.13Jul 2, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on May 31?$3.26May 31, 00:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 30?$1.48May 29, 17:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C on March 4?$25.64May 28, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 25?$2.18May 25, 01:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US add between 125k and 150k jobs in February?$26.58May 22, 21:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on May 14?$238.44May 14, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on May 14?$236.77May 13, 16:13 UTC
- REDEEMDogecoin Up or Down on April 28?$34.98May 13, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 8?$2.50May 7, 22:20 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - March 30, 1PM ET$44.79May 7, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down on April 28?$33.23Apr 28, 05:10 UTC
- REDEEMMicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase April 14-20?$182.12Apr 28, 05:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase April 14-20?$0.13Apr 20, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase April 14-20?$0.11Apr 20, 05:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase April 14-20?$178.97Apr 20, 05:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $630b on February 28?$0.00Apr 19, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $157.50 Week of April 13 2026?$1.51Apr 16, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,500 on April 12?$1.19Apr 12, 02:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $39.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 5, 10:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 2, 19:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.