Wallet digest

active

Activity score

79/100

Performance measurable

Open positions

Open notional

$6.79

Total PnL

$-12.61

Realised

$1.20

Win rate

100%

7 closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 11

UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 26, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
5 shares @ 45.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025
$5.00
$2.75
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 26, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET
2 shares @ 45.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025
$1.79
$0.98
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
133 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2025
$0.00
$-1.33
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
30 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2025
$0.00
$-1.20
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET
30 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2025
$0.00
$-0.40
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
15 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2025
$0.00
$-0.15
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 26, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
10 shares @ 44.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025
$0.00
$-4.47
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 27, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
10 shares @ 45.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 27, 2025
$0.00
$-4.55
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 26, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET
5 shares @ 44.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025
$0.00
$-2.23
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 26, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
5 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025
$0.00
$-2.20

Recent activity

TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$6.11Dec 29, 22:28 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$5.98Dec 29, 22:28 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$11.13Dec 29, 22:15 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$8.14Dec 29, 22:15 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$6.75Dec 29, 22:10 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$5.85Dec 29, 22:10 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$5.98Dec 29, 22:06 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$21.32Dec 29, 15:47 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$5.98Dec 29, 15:47 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$5.72Dec 29, 15:47 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$6.75Dec 29, 15:47 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$14.57Dec 29, 15:45 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$4.70Dec 29, 15:45 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$5.72Dec 29, 15:45 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$6.75Dec 29, 15:45 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$3.06Dec 29, 15:45 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$2.91Dec 29, 15:45 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$0.10Dec 29, 15:44 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$0.15Dec 29, 15:44 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$0.13Dec 29, 15:44 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity43 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence23 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry64 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk64 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 50
Avg trade size: $4.75
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Dec 29, 14:30 UTC
Last active: Dec 29, 22:28 UTC
Win rate sample: 7 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 09:31:47 UTC·src:Polymarket Data