Aching-Timber
0xccbef45d770730640f45ea1378503a2bf62f7861
Wallet digest
Activity score
44/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-15.6K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Biden finish his term?
23195 shares @ 43.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$0.00
$-10.0K
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
11173 shares @ 15.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.7K
- YES
Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" at debate?
7163 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 10, 2024$0.00
$-2.0K
- NO
Will MicroStrategy hold 620k+ BTC before August?
5912 shares @ 31.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.9K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill MicroStrategy hold 620k+ BTC before August?$951.58Jul 28, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MicroStrategy hold 620k+ BTC before August?$909.48Jul 28, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$756.27Jun 23, 04:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$978.06Jun 22, 04:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" at debate?$2.0KSep 11, 01:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Biden finish his term?$5.0KJul 24, 23:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Biden finish his term?$5.0KJul 23, 12:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $2.2K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 23, 12:51 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 15:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".