Miserable-Judgment
0xccbf4811ae331f75e7544018633c27d44371969f
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
63
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-616.77
Realised
$-159.32
Win rate
0%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 63- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $1.90 on November 23?
281 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.22
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $2.40 on November 26?
278 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.73
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 5?
272 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-5.99
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,000 and $3,100 on November 23?
272 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$0.00
$-2.72
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,100 and $3,200 on December 1?
272 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-3.84
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $98,000 and $100,000 on November 19?
270 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.08
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,000 and $3,100 on November 21?
270 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-2.43
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $2.30 on November 26?
269 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 26, 2025$0.00
$-2.75
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on November 17?
267 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 17, 2025$0.00
$-5.87
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on December 6?
266 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2025$0.00
$-3.73
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 22?$59.67Jul 22, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 22?$0.25Jul 22, 07:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 22?$57.39Jul 21, 18:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 8?$2.48Jul 7, 21:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on July 1?$61.50Jul 1, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on July 1?$57.81Jul 1, 00:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on June 5?$4.55Jun 4, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $1.40 May 25-31?$2.73May 31, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on May 28?$1.42May 27, 22:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 27?$61.01May 27, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 27?$57.96May 26, 22:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 18-24?$1.38May 24, 14:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 18?$62.99May 18, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 18?$10.49May 18, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 18?$48.72May 18, 02:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $90 on May 10?$56.20May 10, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $90 on May 10?$53.95May 10, 00:23 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down on April 14?$48.23May 2, 09:10 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down on December 1?$0.00Apr 25, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down on April 14?$46.54Apr 14, 00:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
30/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 13 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 41/100.
13 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $23.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 29, 00:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 16:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.