Muddy-Mouse
0xccc670e06f658528f907984c6505a497650e9e30
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$15.28
Total PnL
$0.03
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
8 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$8.00
$-0.00
- NO
Will Germany win Eurovision 2025?
5 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 17, 2025$5.23
$0.03
- NO
Will SPD win the most seats in the next German election?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$1.04
$0.00
- NO
Will Paolo Banchero lead the NBA in scoring?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2025$1.01
$0.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$8.00Sep 24, 04:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alibaba have the top AI model on December 31?$5.00Sep 24, 03:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win Eurovision 2025?$5.20May 8, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alibaba have the top AI model on December 31?$5.00Apr 24, 11:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SPD win the most seats in the next German election?$1.04Feb 13, 17:22 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after January 2025 meeting?$1.02Feb 13, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after January 2025 meeting?$1.02Jan 14, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paolo Banchero lead the NBA in scoring?$1.01Dec 24, 16:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 150-174 times November 8-15?$1.33Dec 24, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 150-174 times November 8-15?$1.32Nov 10, 09:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.00Nov 10, 09:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Democrat win Colorado Presidential Election?$1.05Nov 10, 09:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill a candidate from another party win Ohio US Senate Election?$1.13Nov 10, 09:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill a candidate from another party win Michigan Presidential Election?$1.04Nov 10, 09:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any other Republican Politician win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$1.09Nov 10, 09:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hillary Clinton win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$1.03Nov 10, 09:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Cardinals win Super Bowl 2025?$1.13Nov 10, 09:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Dolphins win Super Bowl 2025?$1.06Nov 10, 09:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Browns win Super Bowl 2025?$1.03Nov 10, 09:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Patriots win Super Bowl 2025?$1.09Nov 10, 09:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $121.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 15, 11:36 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 24, 04:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".