Faint-Heirloom
0xccc689ffe00ac8b8e69c1a1548e008ce7ec66da5
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$2.57
Total PnL
$-58.70
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
57 shares @ 6.8¢·now 4.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.32
$-1.58
- YES
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?
502 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.25
$-7.13
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 12?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on May 12?
1102 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
667 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET
158 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
133 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET
125 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET
102 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?$1.04May 18, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$10.39May 18, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.04May 18, 06:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 17°C on May 12?$1.10May 13, 00:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?$7.89May 12, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$1.07May 12, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$1.04May 12, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$1.07May 12, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$1.07May 12, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$1.07May 12, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 18°C on May 12?$1.05May 12, 14:32 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET$0.00May 12, 14:30 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET$12.50May 12, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET$5.33May 12, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET$5.21May 12, 14:26 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$7.69May 12, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$5.12May 12, 14:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C or higher on May 12?$0.08May 12, 14:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$0.00May 12, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$2.10May 12, 14:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 70/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $8.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 10, 14:41 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 11:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.